Modeling to Inform Infectious Disease Control

Effectively Assess Intervention Options for Controlling Infectious DiseasesOur experiences with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), and Ebola virus disease (EVD) remind us of the continuing need to be vigilant against the emergence of new infectious diseases. Mathematical modeling is increasingly used i

Autorentext
Niels G. Becker is an emeritus professor of biostatistics at the Australian National University, where he was the director of the National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health from 2007 until 2011. Dr. Becker has published more than 150 peer-reviewed articles. His research interests include the control of infectious diseases, triggers of adverse health events, and the analysis of foodborne disease data.

Inhalt
Introduction. Minor outbreaks when infectives are homogeneous. Minor outbreaks in a community of households. Minor outbreaks when individuals differ. Transmission intensity function. Partially effective vaccines. Social distancing. Reducing epidemic size. Dynamics of infection incidence. Using data to inform model choice. Terminology and notation. References. Subject index.

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