Future: Tense

Informationen zum Autor GWYNNE DYER has served in the Canadian, British, and American navies. He holds a Ph.D. in Middle Eastern history from the University of London, has taught at Sandhurst, and served on the Board of Governors of Canada's Royal Military College. Dyer writes a syndicated column that appears in more than 175 newspapers around the world. In 2010, he was made an Officer of the Order of Canada. He lives in England with his wife and children. Klappentext The foundations of World War III are being laid today. American defeat in Iraq is only a matter of time! but how long it takes matters a lot. The fate of Iraq is a sideshow! the terrorist threat is a red herring! and the radical Islamists' dream of a worldwide jihad against the West is a fantasy! but the attempt to revive Pax Americana is real. No matter what the outcome of the election in November! 2004! the enterprise is likely to continue. It is bound to fail eventually! but we need it to fail soon. American military power is not limitless! and the other big powers will not stand for US military domination of the world. They don't buy the cover story about the 'terrorist threat!' but they don't want a fight either. They are all on hold for the moment! hoping that America will remember its commitment to the United Nations! the rule of law and multilateralism. If it does not! then the drift back into alliances! balance-of-power politics and military confrontations will begin. Ten years from now! an American-led alliance that includes India and occupies much of the Middle East could be facing a European alliance led by France! Germany and Russia AND a hostile! heavily armed China. In Future Tense! Gwynne Dyer's brilliant follow up to last year's bestselling Ignorant Armies! he analyzes how the world made its way to the brink of disaster! and describes how we may all slide over the edge. It was fringe groups of extremists - Islamist fanatics and American neo-conservatives - who set the process in motion! but it has gone well beyond that now. It is not too late! but the clock is running. Zusammenfassung The foundations of World War III are being laid today. American defeat in Iraq is only a matter of time, but how long it takes matters a lot. The fate of Iraq is a sideshow, the terrorist threat is a red herring, and the radical Islamists' dream of a worldwide jihad against the West is a fantasy, but the attempt to revive Pax Americana is real. American military power is not limitless, and the other big powers will not stand for US military domination of the world. They don't buy the cover story about the 'terrorist threat,' but they don't want a fight either. They are all on hold for the moment, hoping that America will remember its commitment to the United Nations, the rule of law, and multilateralism. If it does not, then the drift back into alliances, balance-of-power politics and military confrontations will begin. Ten years from now, an American-led alliance that includes India and occupies much of the Middle East could be facing a European alliance led by France, Germany, and Russia, AND a hostile, heavily armed China. In Future Tense, Gwynne Dyer's brilliant follow up to bestselling Ignorant Armies , he analyzes how the world made its way to the brink of disaster, and describes how we may all slide over the edge. It was fringe groups of extremistsIslamist fanatics and American neo-conservativeswho set the process in motion, but it has gone well beyond that now. It is not too late, but the clock is running....

Klappentext
The foundations of World War III are being laid today.

American defeat in Iraq is only a matter of time, but how long it takes matters a lot. The fate of Iraq is a sideshow, the terrorist threat is a red herring, and the radical Islamists' dream of a worldwide jihad against the West is a fantasy, but the attempt to revive Pax Americana is real. No matter what the outcome of the election in November, 2004, the enterprise is likely to continue. It is bound to fail eventually, but we need it to fail soon.

American military power is not limitless, and the other big powers will not stand for US military domination of the world. They don't buy the cover story about the 'terrorist threat,' but they don't want a fight either. They are all on hold for the moment, hoping that America will remember its commitment to the United Nations, the rule of law and multilateralism. If it does not, then the drift back into alliances, balance-of-power politics and military confrontations will begin. Ten years from now, an American-led alliance that includes India and occupies much of the Middle East could be facing a European alliance led by France, Germany and Russia AND a hostile, heavily armed China.

In Future Tense, Gwynne Dyer's brilliant follow up to last year's bestselling Ignorant Armies, he analyzes how the world made its way to the brink of disaster, and describes how we may all slide over the edge. It was fringe groups of extremists - Islamist fanatics and American neo-conservatives - who set the process in motion, but it has gone well beyond that now. It is not too late, but the clock is running.

Zusammenfassung
The foundations of World War III are being laid today.

American defeat in Iraq is only a matter of time, but how long it takes matters a lot. The fate of Iraq is a sideshow, the terrorist threat is a red herring, and the radical Islamists' dream of a worldwide jihad against the West is a fantasy, but the attempt to revive Pax Americana is real.

American military power is not limitless, and the other big powers will not stand for US military domination of the world. They don't buy the cover story about the 'terrorist threat,' but they don't want a fight either. They are all on hold for the moment, hoping that America will remember its commitment to the United Nations, the rule of law, and multilateralism. If it does not, then the drift back into alliances, balance-of-power politics and military confrontations will begin. Ten years from now, an American-led alliance that includes India and occupies much of the Middle East could be facing a European alliance led by France, Germany, and Russia, AND a hostile, heavily armed China.

In Future Tense, Gwynne Dyer's brilliant follow up to bestselling Ignorant Armies, he analyzes how the world made its way to the brink of disaster, and describes how we may all slide over the edge. It was fringe groups of extremists—Islamist fanatics and American neo-conservatives—who set the process in motion, but it has gone well beyond that now. It is not too late, but the clock is running.

Leseprobe
It was never about Iraq. It is not really about terrorism any more either, though the terrorists are still there. Suddenly, to the vast surprise of practically everybody, it is about the whole way we run the world.

There is a classic scene, lovingly replicated in a hundred cartoons, in which Our Hero removes just one brick from a wall – and one after another, in an endless, slo-mo domino sequence, every structure in sight collapses into rubble. Osama bin Laden is a bit like that hero. With one spectacular act of terrorism, he has undermined the United Nations (UN), the international rule of law, the whole multilateral system of collaboration and compromise that keeps the world safe – half a century of slow and painful progress all suddenly at risk. It’s likely, of course, that bin Laden doesn’t even understand how much his actions have destabilized the entire international system, for his frame of reference is radically different – but if he did, he wouldn’t mind a bit.

He had help: the Bush administration was his “objective ally,” as the Marxists used to put it. Its world-changing ambitions might never have got off the ground without the op…

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